Community Chat

[ScrapHappy]

How accurate are your local weathermen/women?  Mine, not very accurate at all.  This week they called for heavy rain every day with localized flooding, etc.  It didn't rain at ll Monday thru Wednesday.  I just got up this morning and we have some drizzle going on.  One day I was watching the new/weather and, again, was expecting rain, but then the weatherman said all the storms have gone by and threat is over.  Thirty minutes later the skies opened up.

[CalminHeart]

Our meteorologists are 100% accurate after the weather hits.

[gardenman]

There are way too many variables involved for weather forecasting to ever be one hundred percent accurate. Their models are generally pretty good, but models can't account for every variable and fail fairly often because of that.

That's why I always find it funny when they predict our temperatures will rise 2.7 degrees higher in a hundred years. Not 2.6 or 2.8 degrees, but exactly 2.7 degrees, and if you don't believe it, you're a science denier. Uh, no. You're a sane person who knows the models they use are inaccurate and can't account for every variable. In a hundred years, temps could fall by ten degrees or rise by ten degrees. Anyone insisting they'll be exactly 2.7 degrees higher is brainwashed. There are way, way too many variables to ever be that precise that far into the future. 

[catter70]

They'll just say  rain or snow in spots, wherever that might be.  Somebody will be in that spot, I guess.

[qualitygal]

We were talking about the weather forcast the other day while my son was here and he said, it's the one job that you can be wrong in (like rain, or no rain) and not get fired for it.  

[PA Mom-mom]

@ScrapHappy  Our weather here in eastern PA is so localized, it's not really worth following the weather forecasts from the Philly stations. I follow a website from a group of local meteorologists that do private forecasting for businesses. They do a short, free to the public forecast each morning and really lay out the possibilities, but they rarely speak  in absolutes.

[Meowingkitty]

When the weather is hot and sunny for months on end it's pretty easy for them to be accurate. When it does rain here in Arizona they go crazy with with weather. 

[Harpa]

Like @PA Mom-mom , I live in S.E. Pa. Lately our local weather wishfully thinks up the forecast.

Of course, they have 4 different models of prediction they follow...the European, the NAM....

I just look at the sky, feel the direction of any winds, sometimes look at the radar, and take my outside walks accordingly.

[millieshops]

I believe the weather reports we get are as accurate as current science can make them, and I know they have improved a great deal in my long life.

That said, just last week I  walked out of my house minus a raincoat or umbrella expecting no rain and was caught in a deluge as I finished a quick shopping trip a half mile, maybe less, from home. 

 As I drove home, I decided I'd just sit in the car instead of running through the rain again.  No need for that decision -  no rain had fallen on my street.

Unless it becomes possible our cell phones can tell us the weather for exactly where we individually are, I think the weather reports will always be somewhat inaccurate.  I do not want to be alive when someone figures that out!

[drizzellla]

Just as @ScrapHappy  and @PA Mom-mom said.

As @ScrapHappy stated according to the weather reports we were to get heavy rain and flooding. And we would  get no rain at all. And I don't know any community in the area that got any rain much less heavy rain and flooding. That same reports has been given numerous times throughout the summer.

I stopped paying attention to the weather reports. It is summer, I know it will be warm/hot.  So I water my plants just about everyday. I don't know what weather pattern the weather person is following but it is not for where I live.

In fact the other day we were to get heavy rain and flooding. We thought it would be a good idea to go Outlet shopping. The rain would keep people away. The Outlets are about 50 miles away. We had a nice sunny sky the entire trip. Not a sign of rain the entire day.


PS - Just got this email

"several rounds of thunderstorms and fierce winds are slated to hit southeast Pennsylvania Friday and into the weekend, forecasters say."

We will see if we get one drop of rain. We seem to get this same forecast every other day. ,