8:00 P.M Advisory on Henri from NOAA and National Hurricane Center

Mindy D · ‎05-23-2010

000
WTNT33 KNHC 202346
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Henri Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082021
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021

...HENRI TURNS NORTHWARD...
...NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
INVESTIGATING THE STORM...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.6N 73.8W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM S OF MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* South shore of Long Island from Mastic Beach to Montauk Point
* North shore of Long Island from Oyster Bay to Montauk Point
* Greenwich Connecticut to Chatham Massachusetts
* Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, and Block Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* South shore of Long Island from west of Mastic Beach to East
Rockaway Inlet
* North shore of Long Island from west of Oyster Bay to Flushing
* Flushing New York to west of Greenwich Connecticut
* North of Chatham Massachusetts to Sagamore Beach Massachusetts
* Cape Cod Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* South shore of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Montauk Point
* North shore of Long Island from Port Jefferson Harbor to Montauk
Point
* New Haven Connecticut to west of Watch Hill Rhode Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Watch Hill Rhode Island to Sagamore Beach Massachusetts
* Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, and Block Island

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Jefferson Harbor to west of New Haven Connecticut
* South shore of Long Island from west of Fire Island Inlet to East
Rockaway Inlet

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manasquan Inlet New Jersey to west of East Rockaway Inlet New
York, including New York City

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.  Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions.  Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the northeastern U.S. and Atlantic Canada
should monitor the progress of Henri.  Additional watches or
warnings will likely be required later tonight or Saturday.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henri was
located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 73.8 West. Henri is
now moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A continued 
forward motion at a faster forward speed is expected through early 
Sunday.  On the forecast track, Henri is expected to make landfall 
in Long Island or southern New England on Sunday.

Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft 
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next day or 
so, and Henri is expected to become a hurricane tonight or Saturday 
and be at or near hurricane strength when it makes landfall in Long 
Island or southern New England.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft data is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Henri can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Watch Hill, RI to Chatham, MA including Narragansett Bay,
Buzzards Bay, Vineyard Sound, and Nantucket Sound...3-5 ft
Chatham, MA to Sagamore Beach, MA including Cape Cod Bay...2-4 ft
East Rockaway Inlet, NY to Montauk Point, NY...2-4 ft
North shore of Long Island...2-4 ft
Flushing, NY to Watch Hill, RI...2-4 ft
Cape May, NJ to East Rockaway Inlet, NY...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area on Sunday, with tropical storm conditions expected by early
Sunday.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch
area on Sunday, with tropical conditions possible by early Sunday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area and possible in the tropical storm watch area on Sunday.

RAINFALL:  Henri may produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over
Long Island and New England Sunday into Monday, with isolated
maximum totals near 10 inches. Heavy rainfall from Henri could
result in considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding,
along with the potential for widespread minor and isolated moderate
river flooding.

SURF:  Swells generated by Henri should continue to affect Bermuda
during the next day or so.  Swells are expected to increase across
much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada tonight and
into the weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM IN EITHER LONG ISLAND OR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS OF THIS REPORT. THIS EXPECTATION IS NOT EXACT AND CAN CHANGE IN THE NEXT UPDATES. NEXT FULL REPORT IS AT 11:00 P.M. AND AT 8:00 A.M. TOMORROW with the interim report at 11:00 A.M.

PamfromCT · ‎05-22-2014

We live in northern CT and are expecting to be hit hard. We have heard we may be out of power for ten days or more. The winds are supposed to be about 75 mph, and I have heard that calls are out to utility companies many states away for help.

CT is a land of many trees. We have many trees surrounding the perimeter of our home, as many do in the suburbs. I love them, but not when they come crashing down.

We fortunately have a generator and a good stock of supplies.

Our DD and SIL came home early from their vacation on the Cape. We’ve been through a storm of this magnitude before.

Wishing everyone stays safe and well.

Mindy D · ‎05-23-2010

@PamfromCT @Get gas for your car. Find your car charger for your phones. Find some old towels you can put under doors and windows to soak up any water. Find or buy the batteries you need and take out all your lighting devices. Buy giant trash bags at the grocery store. Buy extra kitchen sized bags too. These come in very handy after a storm for clean up, and even toileting. Clean your tub, I usually use some bleach when I do this, and fill it up to use for bathing and for toilet flushing. Fill some big kitchen pots with clean tap water for extra needs. Buy charcoal and lighter fluid for the grill. DO YOUR LAUNDRY FIRST. RUN Your DISHWASHER IF YOU HAVE ANY DISHES IN IT. Turn your fridge wnd freezer to coldest setting. Find your coolers. Clean and buy some ice. It's good to have some disposeable folks, spoons, bowls and plates. It's good to have painting tarps. Bring in any outside objects that could fly around. Clean your toilet and bathroom sink and floor. The bathroom is a good place to ride out the storm. Charge all your devices. Make sure you have Chlorox,

paper towels, peroxide, bandages. Buy water and ice for the cooler. It's good to use battery operated candles around the house. If you drink coffee, you can drink instant with bottled water and there's a powdered milk that is surprisingly good in coffee called NIDO or you could use powdered coffee creamer or boxed milk. Leave your TV local news on in case you are in an area that will need to evacuate. You can find out where your shelters will be in advance. It might turn out that you FEEL NOTHING AND GET ZERO RAIN OR WIND. This happens a lot, as a storm comes in some miles away from you. Get your generator ready. Find your gas can. Put important documents in zip lock bags off the floor. Move furniture away from windows. Best of luck to you. OOPS, locate your insurance policies and health insurance info. It's a good idea to put your purse in a plastic bag in case you need to run out with it. I also get a kitchen bag for my pillow in case I need to go over someone's house to stay and I don't want it to get wet.

Effie54 · ‎09-08-2010

@PamfromCT wrote:
We live in northern CT and are expecting to be hit hard. We have heard we may be out of power for ten days or more. The winds are supposed to be about 75 mph, and I have heard that calls are out to utility companies many states away for help.
CT is a land of many trees. We have many trees surrounding the perimeter of our home, as many do in the suburbs. I love them, but not when they come crashing down.
We fortunately have a generator and a good stock of supplies.
Our DD and SIL came home early from their vacation on the Cape. We’ve been through a storm of this magnitude before.

Wishing everyone stays safe and well.

**Same here.....Connecticut neighbor (eastern CT). We're afraid we're going to get really whacked bad from the storm. We went grocery shopping tonight, and filled up our gas cans for the generator. Be safe!

decaf · ‎05-13-2021

@Mindy D Do you mind if a fellow Floridan adds a couple of things to your very comprehensive list?

-Have a MANUAL can opener on hand for your non perishable canned food, you will need it if you lose power, maybe for an extended period of time.

- Go to the ATM now and withdraw some cash. If power goes out they won't work and you may need cash after the storm if merchants cannot process credit and ATM cards.

Linmo · ‎12-16-2013

@PamfromCT Wishing the best for you and all in the storm's path. Stay safe!

Mindy D · ‎05-23-2010

@decaf @Thanks. I forgot about the things you mentioned. I don't mind at all. The people in Connecticut might never have been in a hurricane before and it is looking like they might get a direct hit.

PamfromCT · ‎05-22-2014

@Mindy D, Your list is fantastic! We have been through some bad stuff in our long lives, but one can always learn or be reminded. Thank you so much.

The forecast now has the storm moving to western CT to pass over. Still, a significant threat, but a bit better for the more populated areas. Wind damage, water damage, etc.

In fact, don’t know why, but the location of the direct hit is supposed to mean we will be out of power longer.

Years ago, we had quite the storm. Out of power, land and cell phones not working, and trees blocking many roads. We did not have a generator at the time, and it was very scary.

Gas stations in CT had gas, but could not pump gas without power.

Thank you again for all you do!

Pam