Even Nostradamus is waking up this morning and saying, "I didn't see that coming!" The house has flipped! Christie is staying and Analyse is going bye-bye. So much for all those Christie eviction parties. I guess they'll have to be put on hold for a bit.
How did this all happen, you might ask? Well, it started out with Christie making the absolute worst possible sales pitch to Cliff, "I'm the only one who will go after Jackson and Holly. You need me to take those two out!" Cliff then let her know this was the wrong strategy to use and had her shift her target from Jackson/Holly to Nick. In a long chat in the boatroom he pretty much laid out her whole plan of attack for her. She needed to win over Holly and Jackson. Get them on her side. He could swing Nicole to vote to keep her. With Holly, Cliff and Nicole she'd have the three votes she needed for a tie and then Jackson could break the tie. Cliff made it clear he wouldn't go against Holly and Jackson and that made it nearly impossible to get the votes to stay. Cliff more or less orchestrated a new five person aliance of himself, Jackson, Holly, Christie and Nicole.
Helping Christie in her new campaign was, of course, Analyse. While Cliff was providing good advice to Christie in the boatroom, Analyse was dragging people into the Camp Comeback/Have Not room to tell them why they should keep her. People wanted to know who she would put up if she won HOH and her "I don't know, I'd have to see where my head was" answer wasn't especially reassuring to anyone. Pretty much the only thing Analyse has done this year is Jack, so people weren't overly concerned about her getting power, but still, if she won't lie and promise you safety, it's a bad sign.
After being coached up by Cliff, Christie headed to the HOH room where Holly had just finished her confusing session with Analyse, and Christie made her pitch that Nick was her target. She'd guarantee safety to Jackson and Holly as long as possible and they'd make a great team with Cliff and Nicole. Holly was quickly on board and Jackson was also. At that point things looked pretty good for Christie. She had Holly and Cliff's votes. Cliff was pretty sure he could get Nicole to vote to keep her and Jackson was the tie-breaker.
Tommy who had meanwhile all but gotten a divorce from Christie and was largely on team Nick soon learned that the old gang (Christie, Jackson and Holly) were getting back together again and quickly jumped on board also. Sure they may have replaced Nick and Analyse with Cliff and Nicole, but Tommy was just happy to be in a big alliance again. (Well, technically the whole six aren't together there are more or less two four person alliances (Cliff, Nicole, Jackson, Holly and a second one of Jackson, Holly, Christie and Tommy.) The two four person groups have some overlap though, so it's more or less a six person alliance. Close enough to have Tommy dancing with joy.
So, at this moment it looks like the vote to keep Christie will be 4-2 with only Nick and Jessica (maybe not Jessica, she might vote to keep Christie now also) voting to keep Christie and evict Analyse. If Nick figures out what's happened even he may vote with the house. We'll have to see.
BB has been playing bird sounds overnight which has the houseguests staying up and studying like mad. They all assume that's for the HOH comp tonight. I think they're wrong. BB has done this in the past and it's been for the POV comp instead of the HOH comp. They had a long setup for tonight's HOH comp and a naming bird sounds comp is a simple Q&A with the booths that can be set up in a matter of hours. It doesn't take three full days to set up Q&A booths. Tonight will likley be something different, I just don't know what. The really long setups are typically for complicated mechanical comps like the wall comp. We'll have to see what happens tonight.
So, we have a show tonight. It'll be an especially confusing one for the TV only viewers who absolutely knew at the end of last night's show that Christie was a goner. In the first twenty-five minutes or so of the show, BB has to show how the flip occurred. It's going to take some creative editing on their part. Christie is getting hailed by some as a Dan type player for her ability to flip the house, but her flip would have flopped, and flopped badly without the help of both Cliff and Analyse. Cliff gave her a far superior strategy to use and Analyse blew up her own game while trying to assure that she had the votes to stay, by being wishy-washy on who she was truly loyal to. "Will you put me up if you win HOH?" "I'll have to see where my head is at the time. Vote to keep me though." Uh, no thanks.
So, with Christie staying, will she keep her word and target Nick if she wins HOH? (Pretty much anyone winning HOH this week will target Nick from the way things look now. Nick needs to win HOH to be sure he lives.) I think my two preferred houseguests, Nicole and Cliff look pretty safe for a while. Nicole might end up a pawn if things go poorly, but right now Jess looks like the pawn opposite Nick. Jess may be second in line for eviction should Nick save himself to keep the six intact.
These next few days/weeks look pretty darn interesting. Will the move to keep Christie come back to bite houseguests? Probably. Analyse was kind of useless and not a threat, so keeping her likely was the safer move, but she looks like a goner right now. Christie's dangerous and likely to bite someone who'll end up regretting keeping her, but it looks like she's staying now. The game just got a lot more interesting.
Fly!!! Eagles!!! Fly!!!
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