Last night saw our annual slip and slide comp with Nick and Analyse getting off to fast starts only to fade badly a few minutes in. Jackson largely dominated from those first few minutes and won by a large margin. Holly was second, Christie third, Nick fourth, Nicole fifth, Analyse sixth, Cliff seventh, and Miss Marathon runner/fitness girl Jess came in dead last.
With the comp over, the talk turned to what would Jackson do as HOH. His target is one hundred percent Christie. (No real surprise there.) He's not sure if he'll backdoor her, or put her up directly, but Christie is his target. He's likely to put her up opposite Cliff to start with, but we'll have to see. He's assured Cliff, that Cliff's not his target.
Christie, being Christie has assured her allies she's fine if she goes up and is even voted out of the house this week. She'll take it in stride. (Care to bet? She'll be a crying manifesting lunatic when/if she ends up on the block. Christie takes nothing in stride.)
The people who seem absolutely safe this week are Holly, Jessica, Nicole and Jackson. Tommy looks safe for now, but that could change. Those at most risk are Christie (by far,) Analyse (second in line of extinction,) and Nick. Cliff seems relatively safe also despite likely being an early nominee. Jackson's confident that with Cliff on the block he'll have Nicole's and Jessica's votes and with Holly on his side that's all he needs. A three/three tie goes to Jackson to break the tie. He's afraid Cliff might vote to keep Christie if he's not on the block, so by putting Cliff on the block he can pretty much lock in Nicole's and Jessica's votes to keep Cliff and evict whoever's left. (Christie, Analyse, or Nick.) It's not a bad strategy.
So, today we'll see Christie waxing philosophically on how she doesn't mind going on the block (as opposed to last week when it was the end of the world) a belief she'll maintain until she ends up on the block. (If she does.) Then the tears and screaming will start and continue until she's finally given the boot. After the nominations tonight, then tomorrow we'll have the POV draw and the POV comp. Christie will want to be drawn herself if she's not nominated, or Nick, Tommy and Analyse drawn if she is nominated. Jackson will want some combination of Nicole, Jessica and Holly drawn no matter what.
If Christie's on the block, Nick or Tommy would likely save her. Back for a moment to something I said last week. Tommy pocketing the POV and letting Christie go last week might have been the best possible move for his game over the long term. He and Christie are still viewed as a couple in the game by many of the houseguests, and couples are rapidly becoming extinct. By keeping Christie he kept them as a couple and if at any point an HOH who views them as a couple can't get rid of Christie, well Tommy's next in line. He'd have likely been safer letting Christie go instead of saving her. He could have made deals for safety with nearly everyone (Cliff, Kat, Jackson, Holly, etc.) and been a likely final four or even final three partner, instead he saved Christie and bought her one more week in the game, but possibly exposed himself to greater risk.
Things should stay pretty quiet today as everyone campaigns to Jackson on what's best for him to do for their game. He's got his target set on Christie though and all he needs is to have her on the block after the POV meeting on Monday and his work will be done. He's got Nicole, Jessica and Holly locked in as votes to evict Christie, so he just needs Christie to be on the block then, whether by backdoor or being nominated tonight. As long as Christie is there on Monday after the POV meeting, Jackson will be happy. Poor Nicole will get besieged by Christie and her supporters for her vote again this week. She's becoming the permanent swing voter in the house which is a miserable spot to be in. Jessica might be able to be bought by the girl vote theory, but Jessica was, and still is, really annoyed that she was left out of the new alliance that formed and is pretty solidly with Holly and Jackson who were also left out. They know they were the three targets of the six and they're not happy about it.
So, this could be a bad week for the Christie lovers out there. She pretty much has to win POV or have Tommy or Nick win POV to be safe. (Not impossible.) Anyone else winning POV and Christie is likely gone. Jackson has three solid votes lined up behind him and a three/three tie is all he needs to evict Christie. I'll post back later tonight after the nominations are final, but for now, it appears to be Christie and Cliff as the nominees with Christie the target. Analyse or Nick could also be on the block opposite Cliff if Jackson opts to backdoor Christie, but for now, it seems like it'll be Christie and Cliff.
Fly!!! Eagles!!! Fly!!!
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