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04-17-2020 02:08 PM
@pitdakota wrote:
@esmerelda wrote:@suzyQ3 Less than 4 out of a hundred infected have died? Is that what 3.4 means?
How does that compare with the rate of any flus in the past...seasonal, swine, H1N1?
__________________________________________________
@esmerelda, not @suzyQ3 but I can offer that the 3.4 is the case fatality rate. It is a percentage. Case fatality rate is always a percentage. Number of deaths that occur when compared to number of identified cases.
The case fatality rate for covid-19 right now is 3.4. Since it is an evolving disease with cases and deaths still occurring the case fatality rate will change. It may go up or it may go down, depends on the total number of cases and number of deaths.
Overall case fatality rate overall for influenza is around 0.1; Spanish flu had a case fatality rate of 2.5.
@pitdakota, the overall fatality rate is now 4.21 in Los Angeles County.
https://bao.arcgis.com/covid-19/jhu/county/06037.html
04-17-2020 02:20 PM - edited 04-17-2020 02:22 PM
@suzyQ3 wrote:
@pitdakota wrote:
@esmerelda wrote:@suzyQ3 Less than 4 out of a hundred infected have died? Is that what 3.4 means?
How does that compare with the rate of any flus in the past...seasonal, swine, H1N1?
__________________________________________________
@esmerelda, not @suzyQ3 but I can offer that the 3.4 is the case fatality rate. It is a percentage. Case fatality rate is always a percentage. Number of deaths that occur when compared to number of identified cases.
The case fatality rate for covid-19 right now is 3.4. Since it is an evolving disease with cases and deaths still occurring the case fatality rate will change. It may go up or it may go down, depends on the total number of cases and number of deaths.
Overall case fatality rate overall for influenza is around 0.1; Spanish flu had a case fatality rate of 2.5.
@pitdakota, the overall fatality rate is now 4.21 in Los Angeles County.
https://bao.arcgis.com/covid-19/jhu/county/06037.html
__________________________________________________--
@suzyQ3, it is disturbing isn't it? I know they had a fairly significant case fatality rate in New Orleans at the beginning too. Hard to say what it will end up being.
And we have not been through the second wave yet. That is if this does what past pandemics have done with a second wave in the fall. Historically, that is when the greatest number of deaths occur.
One reason it is critically important to get things in place and to be ready. The better prepared we are to contain for outbreaks, the better prepared we are to contain a second wave in the fall if it occurs.
Since the Hong Kong flu was mentioned, 100,000 deaths occurred in the US. Only a fraction of those deaths occured early in the year. The majority of the deaths occurred in the second wave that started later in the year and into Jan. into the next year.
Fingers crossed they can get things in place to test and be prepared for later. Geez, we just have to be prepared, just in case.
04-17-2020 06:13 PM
@pitdakota wrote:
@suzyQ3 wrote:
@pitdakota wrote:
@esmerelda wrote:@suzyQ3 Less than 4 out of a hundred infected have died? Is that what 3.4 means?
How does that compare with the rate of any flus in the past...seasonal, swine, H1N1?
__________________________________________________
@esmerelda, not @suzyQ3 but I can offer that the 3.4 is the case fatality rate. It is a percentage. Case fatality rate is always a percentage. Number of deaths that occur when compared to number of identified cases.
The case fatality rate for covid-19 right now is 3.4. Since it is an evolving disease with cases and deaths still occurring the case fatality rate will change. It may go up or it may go down, depends on the total number of cases and number of deaths.
Overall case fatality rate overall for influenza is around 0.1; Spanish flu had a case fatality rate of 2.5.
@pitdakota, the overall fatality rate is now 4.21 in Los Angeles County.
https://bao.arcgis.com/covid-19/jhu/county/06037.html
__________________________________________________--
@suzyQ3, it is disturbing isn't it? I know they had a fairly significant case fatality rate in New Orleans at the beginning too. Hard to say what it will end up being.
And we have not been through the second wave yet. That is if this does what past pandemics have done with a second wave in the fall. Historically, that is when the greatest number of deaths occur.
One reason it is critically important to get things in place and to be ready. The better prepared we are to contain for outbreaks, the better prepared we are to contain a second wave in the fall if it occurs.
Since the Hong Kong flu was mentioned, 100,000 deaths occurred in the US. Only a fraction of those deaths occured early in the year. The majority of the deaths occurred in the second wave that started later in the year and into Jan. into the next year.
Fingers crossed they can get things in place to test and be prepared for later. Geez, we just have to be prepared, just in case.
@suzyQ3 So 3.4%...4.21% ?
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