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Respected Contributor
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

Dec 2008 AlGore said the polar ice caps would be ice free in 5 years.

http://clashdaily.com/2013/12/exactly-five-years-ago-al-gore-predicted-north-pole-will-ice-free-5-y...#

Respected Contributor
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 happy housewife said: They move oil and gas all over the country every day via pipelines. Why couldn't they do the same with water. We have tons of water in the east. Cripes , it rained every day last summer in W Pa.

The Columbia could be siphoned from.

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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 esmeraldagooch said:
On 2/16/2015 dooBdoo said:

Myth: Ice age predicted in the 70s? -- "any publications now claiming the world is on the brink of a global warming disaster said the same about an impending ice age – just 30 years ago. Several major ones, including The New York Times, Time magazine and Newsweek, have reported on three or even four different climate shifts since 1895." (Fire and Ice)

Facts:

<br /> In the thirty years leading up to the 1970s, available temperature recordings suggested that there was a cooling trend. As a result some scientists suggested that the current inter-glacial period could rapidly draw to a close, which might result in the Earth plunging into a new ice age over the next few centuries. This idea could have been reinforced by the knowledge that the smog that climatologists call ‘aerosols’ – emitted by human activities into the atmosphere – also caused cooling. In fact, as temperature recording has improved in coverage, it’s become apparent that the cooling trend was most pronounced in northern land areas and that global temperature trends were in fact relatively steady during the period prior to 1970.<br /> <br /> At the same time as some scientists were suggesting we might be facing another ice age, a greater number published contradicting studies. Their papers showed that the growing amount of greenhouse gasses that humans were putting into the atmosphere would cause much greater warming – warming that would a much greater influence on global temperature than any possible natural or human-caused cooling effects.<br /> <br /> <br /> By 1980 the predictions about ice ages had ceased, due to the overwhelming evidence contained in an increasing number of reports that warned of global warming. Unfortunately, the small number of predictions of an ice age appeared to be much more interesting than those of global warming, so it was those sensational 'Ice Age' stories in the press that so many people tend to remember.

<br /> <br /> The fact is that around 1970 there were 6 times as many scientists predicting a warming rather than a cooling planet. Today, with 30+years more data to analyse, we've reached a clear scientific consensus: 97% of working climate scientists agree with the view that human beings are causing global warming."

(If you don't like this source, do an internet search on "1970s ice age myth" for numerous other sources.)

Thanks for the cool graph. I do agree with your last paragraph. 97% have been forced to agree with each other by the powers that control their purse strings. Any other voices are silenced or are mocked. Follow the money, AlGore said FL would be under water by now.

You're quite welcome! With all due respect, following the money to the oil industry makes a great deal more sense. And this isn't about Al Gore, no matter how much anyone wants to try and force it to be... that's a diversion. It's about climate (not weather) and science (not politics).Smile

Few things reveal your intellect and your generosity of spirit—the parallel powers of your heart and mind—better than how you give feedback.~Maria Popova
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 dooBdoo said:
On 2/16/2015 esmeraldagooch said:
On 2/16/2015 dooBdoo said:

Myth: Ice age predicted in the 70s? -- "any publications now claiming the world is on the brink of a global warming disaster said the same about an impending ice age – just 30 years ago. Several major ones, including The New York Times, Time magazine and Newsweek, have reported on three or even four different climate shifts since 1895." (Fire and Ice)

Facts:

<br /> In the thirty years leading up to the 1970s, available temperature recordings suggested that there was a cooling trend. As a result some scientists suggested that the current inter-glacial period could rapidly draw to a close, which might result in the Earth plunging into a new ice age over the next few centuries. This idea could have been reinforced by the knowledge that the smog that climatologists call ‘aerosols’ – emitted by human activities into the atmosphere – also caused cooling. In fact, as temperature recording has improved in coverage, it’s become apparent that the cooling trend was most pronounced in northern land areas and that global temperature trends were in fact relatively steady during the period prior to 1970.<br /> <br /> At the same time as some scientists were suggesting we might be facing another ice age, a greater number published contradicting studies. Their papers showed that the growing amount of greenhouse gasses that humans were putting into the atmosphere would cause much greater warming – warming that would a much greater influence on global temperature than any possible natural or human-caused cooling effects.<br /> <br /> <br /> By 1980 the predictions about ice ages had ceased, due to the overwhelming evidence contained in an increasing number of reports that warned of global warming. Unfortunately, the small number of predictions of an ice age appeared to be much more interesting than those of global warming, so it was those sensational 'Ice Age' stories in the press that so many people tend to remember.

<br /> <br /> The fact is that around 1970 there were 6 times as many scientists predicting a warming rather than a cooling planet. Today, with 30+years more data to analyse, we've reached a clear scientific consensus: 97% of working climate scientists agree with the view that human beings are causing global warming."

(If you don't like this source, do an internet search on "1970s ice age myth" for numerous other sources.)

Thanks for the cool graph. I do agree with your last paragraph. 97% have been forced to agree with each other by the powers that control their purse strings. Any other voices are silenced or are mocked. Follow the money, AlGore said FL would be under water by now.

You're quite welcome! With all due respect, following the money to the oil industry makes a great deal more sense. And this isn't about Al Gore, no matter how much anyone wants to try and force it to be... that's a diversion. It's about climate (not weather) and science (not politics).Smile

Not according to her...read her post #30.

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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 gardenman said:
On 2/16/2015 BaileyandBella said:
On 2/16/2015 gardenman said: Aren't we all supposed to be under water from the rise in seawater by then too? If the seawater rises and we have a drought we could have the unique experience of drowning in a drought. I've seen way too many long range forecasts go horribly wrong to trust them. Back in the seventies (I think) after a few bad winters in a row there was talk that we were in a new ice age and we had to act immediately to prevent a disaster. There was talk of building massive manmade concrete mountain ranges to shield the bigger northern cities from the inevitable advance of the glaciers. There's always some massive danger lurking in the distant future that we must act now to prevent. The funny thing is these dangers never seem to arrive.

Really? {#emotions_dlg.laugh}

Yeah, the sketches shown at the time showed a massive saw-tooth like man-made mountains that would let the glaciers rise up onto steel spines where the weight of the glacier would cause it to fracture into small pieces that would then be easily removed. Construction was expected to take a century or more to protect the most important major northern cities and they would be the biggest man-made structures ever made. With the ice age already underway however there was the need to start construction immediately. For whatever reason Congress never approved the spending.

Around that same time there was talk of building a giant rocket engine in the desert southwest that would be fed from oil/gas wells to move the whole planet to a new solar system should our sun fail. Once again, Congress thought better of it.

Back in the eighties (I believe) there was a report that the Gulf Stream was moving north at a fast pace and that by 2000 (or so) New Jersey would have Florida-like temperatures year round. A local paper actually ran a story advising local nursery owners to consider planting orange and grapefruit trees instead of apple and peach trees due to the inevitable move of the Gulf Stream northward. Now, the two degree temperatures outside this morning tend to indicate that the Gulf Stream didn't make it all the way here.

There is always some new disaster lurking out there in the future just waiting to kill us all if we don't spend millions/billions now. The one constant has been that the forecasts are always wrong. That's why I don't get overly alarmed by whatever the newest "threat to all mankind" is. Humans live above the arctic circle and in the subtropics, so we're pretty darn adaptable.

Climate and weather are two different things. Regarding the last sentence, of course that's true... but if the entire globe had those extremes, much of the flora and fauna of the world would disappear forever. Perhaps we shouldn't be "alarmed" at seeing the earth being so badly treated by humans... I guess I don't think that way, though.

"Only after the last tree has been cut down.
Only after the last river has been poisoned.
Only after the last fish has been caught.
Only then will you find that money cannot be eaten." (Cree prophecy)

Few things reveal your intellect and your generosity of spirit—the parallel powers of your heart and mind—better than how you give feedback.~Maria Popova
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

Why do ppl advise "follow the money" with the oil companies, but not with the climate change stuff?
Super Contributor
Posts: 1,417
Registered: ‎09-20-2014

Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

Climate change is incredibly political. I thought that was just general knowledge.
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Posts: 17,606
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 Melania2 said:
On 2/16/2015 dooBdoo said:
On 2/16/2015 esmeraldagooch said:
On 2/16/2015 dooBdoo said:

Myth: Ice age predicted in the 70s? -- "any publications now claiming the world is on the brink of a global warming disaster said the same about an impending ice age – just 30 years ago. Several major ones, including The New York Times, Time magazine and Newsweek, have reported on three or even four different climate shifts since 1895." (Fire and Ice)

Facts:

In the thirty years leading up to the 1970s, available temperature recordings suggested that there was a cooling trend. As a result some scientists suggested that the current inter-glacial period could rapidly draw to a close, which might result in the Earth plunging into a new ice age over the next few centuries. This idea could have been reinforced by the knowledge that the smog that climatologists call ‘aerosols’ – emitted by human activities into the atmosphere – also caused cooling. In fact, as temperature recording has improved in coverage, it’s become apparent that the cooling trend was most pronounced in northern land areas and that global temperature trends were in fact relatively steady during the period prior to 1970.

At the same time as some scientists were suggesting we might be facing another ice age, a greater number published contradicting studies. Their papers showed that the growing amount of greenhouse gasses that humans were putting into the atmosphere would cause much greater warming – warming that would a much greater influence on global temperature than any possible natural or human-caused cooling effects.

By 1980 the predictions about ice ages had ceased, due to the overwhelming evidence contained in an increasing number of reports that warned of global warming. Unfortunately, the small number of predictions of an ice age appeared to be much more interesting than those of global warming, so it was those sensational 'Ice Age' stories in the press that so many people tend to remember.

[image removed for brevity]

The fact is that around 1970 there were 6 times as many scientists predicting a warming rather than a cooling planet. Today, with 30+years more data to analyse, we've reached a clear scientific consensus: 97% of working climate scientists agree with the view that human beings are causing global warming."

(If you don't like this source, do an internet search on "1970s ice age myth" for numerous other sources.)

Thanks for the cool graph. I do agree with your last paragraph. 97% have been forced to agree with each other by the powers that control their purse strings. Any other voices are silenced or are mocked. Follow the money, AlGore said FL would be under water by now.

You're quite welcome! With all due respect, following the money to the oil industry makes a great deal more sense. And this isn't about Al Gore, no matter how much anyone wants to try and force it to be... that's a diversion. It's about climate (not weather) and science (not politics).Smile

Not according to her...read her post #30.

I know, Melania. It's a strawman tossed into every climate change discussion, isn't it, along with the numerous myths, like the 1977 Time magazine cover she edited after I posted the full info. That's why these threads usually are fruitless and, eventually, removed.Wink

Few things reveal your intellect and your generosity of spirit—the parallel powers of your heart and mind—better than how you give feedback.~Maria Popova
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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

On 2/16/2015 esmeraldagooch said:

Dec 2008 AlGore said the polar ice caps would be ice free in 5 years.

http://clashdaily.com/2013/12/exactly-five-years-ago-al-gore-predicted-north-pole-will-ice-free-5-y...#

Al Gore was quoting the man you really should try to ridicule. Al Gore also said that it was Dr. Maslowski's projection and he finished by saying " . . . and we will find out." Did you even watch and listen to it?

You can always tell when Al Gore is nothing more than a whipping post for know-nothings, why would you, esmerelda, want to put in with them?

Wieslaw Maslowski
Research Professor
Mail Code: OC/Ma
Department of Oceanography
Graduate School of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Monterey, CA 93943
Phone: 831-656-3162
Email: maslowsk (at) nps.edu
Web: www.oc.nps.edu/NAME/name.html

EDUCATION:
PhD - University of Alaska Fairbanks, 1994
Physical Oceanography
MS - University of Gdansk, Poland, 1987
Physical Oceanography

NPS EXPERIENCE:

  • 2009 - present: Research Professor, Department of Oceanography
  • 2001 - 2009: Research Associate Professor, Department of Oceanography
  • 1995 - 2001: Research Assistant Professor, Department of Oceanography

OTHER EXPERIENCE:

  • 1999 - 1999: Visiting Assistant Professor, Univ of California Santa Cruz
  • 1994-1995: Postdoctoral Fellow, NOAA Global and Climate Change
  • 1991 - 1994: NASA Global Change Fellow, Univ of Alaska, Fairbanks, Alaska
  • 1988 - 1988: Research Assistant, Univ of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Marine Science

TEACHING INTERESTS:

  • Physical and Dynamical Oceanography
  • Polar Oceanography
  • Arctic Climate Change
  • Numerical Modeling

RESEARCH INTERESTS:

  • Arctic Oceanography and Sea Ice
  • Regional Climate, Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling
  • Ocean General Circulation and Dynamics
  • Air-sea-ice Interactions and Feedbacks
  • Arctic and Global Climate Change

AWARDS:

  • Special Act Award, Naval Postgraduate School, 1998
  • NOAA Global and Climate Change Postdoctoral Fellowship, 1994-1995
  • NASA Global Change Graduate Fellowship, 1991-1994
  • Graduate Program in Marine Sciences and Limnology, Outstanding Ph.D. Student Award, 1994

BOARDS/MEMBERSHIPS:

  • NAS/NRC Committee on A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling, 2011-present
  • NAS/NRC Committee on A Science Plan for the North Pacific Research Board, 2003-2005
  • NSF Committee for the Bering Sea Initiative, 2002-2004
  • Arctic Region Supercomputing Center Technology Panel, 2000-2007
  • Arctic Region Supercomputing Center Science Review Panel, 2009-2011
  • Board of Directors of the Arctic Research Consortium of the United States, 1999-2006
  • Numerical Experimentation Group of the Arctic Climate System Study / Climate and Cryosphere Program, 1998-2005
  • Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Committee of the American Meteorological Society, 1998-2001
  • Co-Chairman of the SCICEX 2000 Workshop on Submarine-Based Arctic Science after the Year 2000, Warrenton, VA, 6-8 October, 1998
  • Co-chairman of the Arctic Forum at the Arctic Research Consortium of the United States Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., 2000, 2002, and 2004 member of American Geophysical Union and The Oceanography Society

SELECTED PUBLICATIONS: (View an extended list)

  • chapters in books
  • Maslowski, W., J. Clement Kinney, D. C. Marble, J. Jakacki, (2008): Towards eddy-resolving models of the Arctic Ocean, In: Ocean Modeling in an Eddying Regime, M. W. Hecht and H. Hasumi, eds. Geophysical Monograph Series, Volume 177, 350 pp.
  • Maslowski, W., R. Roman, and J. C. Kinney, (2008): Effects of mesoscale eddies on the flow of the Alaskan Stream, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C07036, doi:10.1029/2007JC004341.
  • Maslowski, W., J.L. Clement, J. Jakacki (2007): Towards Prediction of Environmental Change, Computing in Science and Engineering, V. 9, No. 6, pp. 29-34.
  • Maslowski, W., D. Marble, W. Walczowski, U. Schauer, J. L. Clement, and A. J. Semtner (2004), On climatological mass, heat, and salt transports through the Barents Sea and Fram Strait from a pan-Arctic coupled ice-ocean model simulation, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03032, doi:10.1029/2001JC001039.
  • Maslowski, W., W.H. Lipscomb: High-resolution Simulations of Arctic Sea Ice During 1979-1993, Polar Research, 22, 67-74, 2003.
  • Maslowski, W., W. Walczowski: On the circulation of the Baltic Sea and its connection to the Pan-Arctic region a large scale and high-resolution modeling approach, Boreas Environmental Research, 7, 319-325, 2002.
  • Maslowski, W., D.C. Marble, W. Walczowski, A.J. Semtner: On Large Scale Shifts in the Arctic Ocean and Sea Ice Conditions during 1979-1998, Annals of Glaciol., V. 33, pp. 545-550, 2001.
  • Maslowski, W., B. Newton, P. Schlosser, A.J. Semtner, and D.G. Martinson: Modeling Recent Climate Variability in the Arctic Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., V. 27(22), pp. 3743-3746, 2000.

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Re: NASA predicts MegaDroughts by the end of the Century....

Another side effect of climate change that hasn't been considered until recently.

Climate Change Poised to Make Infectious Disease Outbreaks More Frequent

As the catastrophic Ebola outbreak showed the world recently, the modern age of global air travel has made it far easier for disease to spread. But climate change, which is shuffling habitable zones for pathogen-carrying animals, is poised to make future outbreaks of infectious diseases such as Ebola, H1N1 and TB worse, and more frequent.

In an article published Sunday in the journal Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, two zoologists studying parasites in drastically different environments--one in the Arctic, the other in tropical zones--relay what 30 years of research have taught them about the future of disease.

"Even though I was in the tropics and [zoologist Eric Hoberg] was in the Arctic, we could see something was happening," Daniel Brooks, a zoologist with the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, said in a press release.

As climate change caused habitats to shift or disappear for certain species, parasites would simply jump to other species, an observation that challenges conventional thinking that parasites have co-evolved with their hosts and so do not quickly adapt to a new species. "Even though a parasite might have a very specialized relationship with one particular host in one particular place, there are other hosts that may be as susceptible," Brooks said. The new parasite hosts will not have developed resistance to the species-jumping parasites, and so may be even more susceptible to the infection than the original host species, sparking epidemics more regularly.

To read more: http://www.newsweek.com/climate-change-poised-make-infectious-disease-outbreaks-more-frequent-307161

~The only difference between this place and the Titanic is that the Titanic had a band.~