topic Re: Autumn 2018 info. in Community Chat

Autumn 2018 info.

feline groovy — Sat, 01 Sep 2018 17:47:19 GMT

My favorite season...

'Officially' here on Sept. 22nd, but the weather in many areas won't cool down and be crisper until October.

SO worth the wait, though.

When will Fall arrive for you? Forecasters reveal 2018 prediction map for 'earlier than normal' season

The map is meant to help travelers better time their trips to catch fall leaves
Analyzes several million data points including historic temperatures and precipitation, forecast temperatures and precipitation, and historical leaf trends

September 1, 2018

If you're already over the sweltering summer and ready for fall, help is at hand.

Researchers have revealed an interactive Fall Foliage Prediction Map.

The map uses an algorithm that analyzes several million data points including historic temperatures and precipitation, forecast temperatures and precipitation and historical leaf trends and observation trends.

However, forecasters warm we could be in for an unusually warm fall.

darker red areas represent peak fall foliage, and lighter areas represent minimal fall foliage

Use this map interactively at:

https://smokymountains.com/fall-foliage-map

Just click and slide the bar at the bottom.

The latest version of the map allows users to see how leaves will change color across the US from now until the end of October, and it's meant to help travelers better time their trips to have the best opportunity of catching peak color each year.

Some of the data used by the algorithm include: NOAA historical temperatures, precipitation, forecast temperatures, forecast precipitation and historical leaf peak trends.

"Each year, we use a proprietary algorithm to process millions of data pieces and output accurate predictions for the entire country,' said Wes Melton, the creator of the map.

Once the data is processed, the map outputs over 50,000 pieces of predictive data and then displays it on an interactive map.

According to Accuweather, 'it will be a gradual transition to fall for the Northeast and mid-Atlantic this year, as warmth lingers for both regions.

'The Southeast will remain at risk for a tropical impact and flooding rainfall while the Southwest sizzles in scorching heat.

'Meanwhile, the central and northern Plains will get a little bit of everything, including the threat for some early-season snow.'

GET READY FOR A WARM FALL

According to Accuweather, 'it will be a gradual transition to fall for the Northeast and mid-Atlantic this year, as warmth lingers for both regions.

The Southeast will remain at risk for a tropical impact and flooding rainfall while the Southwest sizzles in scorching heat.

Meanwhile, the central and northern Plains will get a little bit of everything, including the threat for some early-season snow.'

Gradual transition to fall in store for Northeast, mid-Atlantic and eastern Ohio Valley

A warm fall is predicted overall for the Northeast and mid-Atlantic as chilly air takes its time to arrive.

Warmth is set to linger across upstate New York, New England and the northern mid-Atlantic states, with nights cooling off before daytime highs start to drop.

WHY DO LEAVES CHANGE COLOR IN FALL?

Leaves typically produce their vivid hues of green from spring through summer into early fall through the constant creation of Chlorophyll.

Chlorophyll is the compound that allows plants to convert sunlight energy into glucose to feed them, and these Chlorophyll compounds saturate the leaves, making them appear green.

As fall days begin to get shorter, the production of Chlorophyll slows to a halt, eventually giving way to the 'true' color of the leaf.

Then, in preparation for the freezing temperatures of winter, trees slowly close off the veins that carry water and nutrients to and from the leaves with a layer of new cells that form at the base of the lead stem, protecting the limbs and body of the tree.

Once thus process is complete, water and nutrients no longer flow to and from the leaf, and this allows the lead to due and weaken at the stem, eventually falling gracefully to the ground.

When the leaves fall to the ground, they break down and create a rich humus on the forest floor that absorbs dew and rainfall, and this 'sponge' acts as a continual source of nutrients and water for trees and plants, helping to promote life and plant health in the next spring season.

Orange leaves: Beta-Carotene is one of the most common carotenoids present in most leaves, and it strongly absorbs blue and green light, reflecting yellow and red light from the sun, giving leaves their orange hue.

Red leaves: But unlike beta-carotenoids, pigments called anthocyanins increase in production in autumn, protecting the leaf and prolong its like on the tree through autumn, and making the leaf look red.

Yellow leaves: And flavonols are a compound that are always present in leaves, and contribute to the yellow color of egg yolks. They make leaves yellow, but are not seen until the production of Chlorophyll begins to slow.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Nancy Drew — Tue, 09 Oct 2018 18:53:08 GMT

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Kachina624 — Sat, 01 Sep 2018 16:36:10 GMT

Too bad that graphic doesn't slow down long enough to figure it out and read it.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

151949 — Sat, 01 Sep 2018 17:21:18 GMT

We don't really get the spring and fall experience here in Florida. Just winter to summer. DH & I are missing Pa. and we'll really miss our trip south in Oct. thru the beautiful mountains of West Virginia, Virginia & North Carolina. Always gorgeous in the fall.We have decided that next year we are going to go to Pittsburgh for the month of Oct. as we both feel we'll enjoy fall up north the most.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

sunshine45 — Sat, 01 Sep 2018 17:29:48 GMT

@Kachina624 wrote:
Too bad that graphic doesn't slow down long enough to figure it out and read it.

i felt the same way @Kachina624.

it was actually making me a bit queasy to try and watch it!

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

feline groovy — Wed, 05 Sep 2018 00:27:48 GMT

@Kachina624, @sunshine45, & everyone else:

Sorry for the interactive link (see above) delay.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Kachina624 — Sun, 02 Sep 2018 03:09:19 GMT

@Nancy Drew wrote:
Starbucks told me it was fall Tuesday when Pumpkin Spice rolled out. That is what I go by.

@Nancy Drew. I, on the other hand, depend heavily on the arrival of Pumpkin Pie Blizzards at Dairy Queen.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

just bee — Sun, 02 Sep 2018 10:14:53 GMT

I've been watching the leaves changing color for the past few weeks in Albuquerque. Some of the trees are getting yellow patches; the Chinese pistaches in our neighborhood park are turning orange and red.

It's like someone flipped a switch.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

ID2 — Sun, 02 Sep 2018 10:40:39 GMT

I've been watching the trees (mainly young saplings) already start turning color since the beginning of August here. Yes, color season is spectacular where I live, but its so short-lived that you blink and its gone. Then its on to raking up all of those pesky leaves. Ugh. But it is a beautiful sight when the trees are full color and the reflection on our lake. Breathtaking.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

willdob3 — Sun, 02 Sep 2018 13:36:25 GMT

@151949 wrote:
We don't really get the spring and fall experience here in Florida. Just winter to summer. DH & I are missing Pa. and we'll really miss our trip south in Oct. thru the beautiful mountains of West Virginia, Virginia & North Carolina. Always gorgeous in the fall.We have decided that next year we are going to go to Pittsburgh for the month of Oct. as we both feel we'll enjoy fall up north the most.

@151949

That sounds perfect! I was just thinking I’d love to spend every October in PA! It is breathtakingly beautiful in the fall. I do love Florida but I always miss fall.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

151949 — Sun, 02 Sep 2018 14:51:02 GMT

@willdob3 wrote:
@151949 wrote:
We don't really get the spring and fall experience here in Florida. Just winter to summer. DH & I are missing Pa. and we'll really miss our trip south in Oct. thru the beautiful mountains of West Virginia, Virginia & North Carolina. Always gorgeous in the fall.We have decided that next year we are going to go to Pittsburgh for the month of Oct. as we both feel we'll enjoy fall up north the most.
@151949

That sounds perfect! I was just thinking I’d love to spend every October in PA! It is breathtakingly beautiful in the fall. I do love Florida but I always miss fall.

I'd like to spend every Oct there too. This is our first year to not go home at all, and we are a bit homesick. We are looking for somewhere to stay next fall that is more out in the country , we aren't really city people. Our niece has a camper in Slippery Rock, Pa she said we could use but that is a bit too far away from Pitts. and Oct in a camper might be pretty cold for us, as we are used to Fl. heat now.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

maestra — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 14:52:50 GMT

l will state it again: I miss New England!

It's still 90 degrees; at 9pm yesterday it was 85 degrees.

My heat rashed skin is not happy! DH insisted that we attend a BBQ yesterday that was mostly outdoors. I was sneaking away to the A/C when I couldnt take it amymore.

DH's job last night was to cover the upper part of my back in Chlobetasol- a powerful corto-steroid. I had to take an Rx antihistamine.

Slept well.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

NickNack — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 15:01:35 GMT

Thank you for posting the link @feline groovy. That was really interesting. It looks like peak for my area will be the end of October. I love fall.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

SeaMaiden — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 15:34:35 GMT

@feline groovy. How interesting! Thanks for sharing!

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Spurt — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 19:41:36 GMT

@Kachina624 @sunshine45

Click the blue link and slide the white button to the different dates...........

https://smokymountains.com/fall-foliage-map

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

sunshine45 — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 21:29:32 GMT

@Spurt wrote:
@Kachina624 @sunshine45

Click the blue link and slide the white button to the different dates...........

https://smokymountains.com/fall-foliage-map

thanks @Spurt

looks like we are due for mid peak to peak from mid october through the end of october.....which is our usual time. was hoping it would be slightly earlier. we actually have some trees right now that are losing leaves.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Kachina624 — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 23:09:13 GMT

@Spurt. Thanks. Looks like the Colorado Aspens will be a week or so late this year.

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Spurt — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 23:14:30 GMT

@Kachina624 wrote:
@Spurt. Thanks. Looks like the Colorado Aspens will be a week or so late this year.

@Kachina624

Ours wont start until Oct 22, and wont peak until Nov 12...thats if we are lucky and get a nice Canadian front....

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

Kachina624 — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 23:20:51 GMT

@just bee. I've actually had my A.C. turned off; how about you?

Re: Autumn 2018 info.

just bee — Mon, 03 Sep 2018 23:49:38 GMT

@Kachina624 wrote:
@just bee. I've actually had my A.C. turned off; how about you?

@Kachina624

Haven't turned it off yet, but it's not coming on as often so I'll be looking forward to the next PNM bill. Then we'll start the game of how-long-can-we-go-before-we-turn-on-the-heat?